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The initial jobless-claims data is more sensitive to business conditions than other measures of unemployment, and as such leads the monthly unemployment data released by the U.S. Thus, an increase in demand deposits will indicate expectations that inflation will rise, resulting in a decrease in bank lending and an increase in savings. government agencies Misery index (economics) SET Index The Conference Board . References[edit]. In finance, Bollinger bands are one of various lagging indicators in frequent use. Business and economics portal . This measure is the producer's counterpart of new orders for consumer goods/materials component (#3). Local governments often need to project future tax revenues. The average duration of unemployment (inverted) The value of outstanding commercial and industrial loans The change in the Consumer Price Index for services The change in labour cost per unit of output The ratio of manufacturing and trade inventories to sales The ratio of consumer credit outstanding to personal income The average prime rate charged by banks . Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

Economic Indicators United States Economic Indicators (current and historical, open data) - Quandl . Changes in the yield curve have been the most accurate predictors of downturns in the economic cycle. Manufacturers' new orders for non-defense capital goods As stated above, new orders lead the business cycle because increases in orders usually mean positive changes in actual production and perhaps rising demand. The Index tends to follow changes in the overall economy. Simon Adam Smith Robert Solow Lon Walras more International organizations Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Economic Cooperation Organization European Free Trade Association International Monetary Fund Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development World Bank World Trade Organization Category Index Lists Outline Publications Business and economics portal . Typically the lag is a few quarters of a year. Sheffrin (2003). (ed.) Encyclopedia of business in Today's World, California, USA, 2009. This was the source of "procyclic," "acyclic," etc., as well as confirmation of "leading," "lagging," etc., and the source of some of the examples.

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